• Owen@social.ridetrans.it
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    10 months ago

    @ajsadauskas @heatofignition @mondoman712

    It also looks like the council plan for the Rouse Hills Shire indicates an 80% mode share for private vehicles. The single train station to downtown and infrequent buses are not getting people out of cars.

    https://www.thehills.nsw.gov.au/files/sharedassets/public/ecm-website-documents/page-documents/building/plans-guidelines/integrated_transport_and_land_use_strategy.pdf

    Additionally, it looks like despite transit investments the metro is predicted to still see a 67% car mode share by 2031

    https://www.infrastructureaustralia.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-08/Transport%20Modelling%20Report%20for%20Sydney.pdf

    • Owen@social.ridetrans.it
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      10 months ago

      @ajsadauskas @heatofignition @mondoman712

      And your example is using a route with a toll! That is an example of the government hobbling driving.

      I’m not saying we shouldn’t build transit. Or that it even should be a lower priority. I’m simply saying we should *also* raise the cost of driving because that impacts a lot of decisions, including the trade-off between using transit and driving as you demonstrated with your example.

    • AJ Sadauskas@aus.social
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      10 months ago

      @owen @heatofignition @mondoman712 The Hills Shire document you’re looking at is from 2019.

      Notice how the Metro is referred to in the future we tense? “We anticipate…”

      Well, the NW Metro only opened in 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_North_West_Line

      And the figures you’re quoting are from before the Metro opened.

      Which is why the train modal share is just 1%. People had to catch a bus or drive to somewhere like Epping or Parramatta to get a train. The Hills were a pretty notorious public transport blackspot before the NW Metro opened.

      I don’t see the logic in saying it hasn’t led to a shift in modal share before it opened?

      The final phases of that Metro project, called Metro City & Southwest, are opening this year and in 2025: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sydney_Metro_City_%26_Southwest

      The NW Metro will also eventually connect with another Sydney Metro line to the new Western Sydney Airport. The first phase of that line is opening in 2026: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sydney_Metro_Western_Sydney_Airport

      The second Infrastructure Australia report you linked to looks at the entire Sydney Metropolitan Area, not just northwest Sydney.

      It’s like looking at overall modal share across the Greater New York metropolitan area to judge a new line in Brooklyn.

      There are still public transport blackspots in Sydney. The Northern Beaches and the outer west are two prime examples.

        • AJ Sadauskas@aus.social
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          10 months ago

          @owen @heatofignition @mondoman712
          “When do you expect transit to be sufficient to allow increasing gas prices?”

          Probably sometime during the Fraser government, back in the 1980s.

          So an important difference between Australia and the US is that the Australian Federal Government already has a national Fuel Excise Tax, as well as Goods and Services Tax on Fuel: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_taxes_in_Australia

          But going back to the main point.

          People can’t choose public transport over the car if the public transport system in the area isn’t up to scratch.

          People on higher incomes can afford any increase to the cost of driving the most.

          And they tend to live in the inner suburbs that have the best access to public transport.

          It’s the working class people in the car-dependent outer suburbs — the western suburbs of Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane in particular — who are the least able to afford it.

          And when you attempt to increase the cost of driving when there aren’t any good alternatives, you prompt a not-unjustified political backlash.

          That political backlash is real. It’s why — for example — Australia no longer has a price on carbon.

          And from a social policy standpoint, you effectively financially penalise people for being poor.

          The reason why I cited the Northwest Metro is because it’s a great example of a rail service that’s better than driving for many trips. And it was built in an area that previously had quite poor access to public transport.

          That means improving density along existing rail corridors, opening up new higher-density mixed-use developments along new rail corridors, and retrofitting high-frequency (every 10 minutes or greater) bus services to existing suburban areas.

          Once good alternatives are in place, that’s when you ideally should take steps to make driving less attractive.

          That can range from local interventions, such as pedestrianising streets and reducing the mandatory parking requirements in local planning codes.

          It can potentially include congestion surcharges, parking taxes, etc.

          And at a state or national level, increasing fuel excise, motor vehicles registration, stamp duty, etc.