It goes without saying, DVDs/BlueRays.
I am with you on physical media, and it is sad. Physical media is the only media you really own.
hopefully ai
We call it AI now but machine learning algorithms have been around for 70 years now and basically run the world
No way. We will build grids and power for eventual AI takeover of common employees like fast food. It’s a sad future.
AI technologie could be nice. LLM and Diffusion models ruining the Internet with fake information and Fake art, being over hyped as AI that will change the world, all while burning up unimaginable amounts of energy? Yeah, I also hope it goes away.
I don’t think we will be losing optical disks ever.
If burned properly they hold storage for a very long time without data loss. IIRC Facebook burns optical disks for old photographs and instead of having a hard drive array or tape library they had a RAID based optical disk system.
Optical disks are great, but not for the daily user since most media content is online and most storage is judged on being rewritable.
Bike locks. Surveillance will be expanded to the point that petty crimes will become impossible.
Ha! The police don’t pursue crimes against cyclists.
What technology will disappear in the next 10 years?
It will be fully automated. You mark the position and time, an AI checks the record and the thief will be punished. No police nor judge needed.
Doesn’t really keep my bike where I expect it to be, though, does it? So what does all that violation of human rights actually buy us?
Tablets.
The market for them is very thin. With phones getting bigger and convertible laptops being more lightweight I don’t see much market for tablets.
Which is a shame because it’s s good format for comic reading and more durable than a convertible laptop (they always break by the hinges) but I think in ten years it will be quite hard to find a tablet for sale.
Honestly I would say it might go the other way with laptops disappearing and being replaced with tablets.
The operating systems and software on tablets is getting ever more capable even for productivity stuff. Add to that newer generations growing up while using mostly smartphones and maybe sometimes a computer and I believe if having to decide they would choose a tablet over a laptop. In general the line between laptops and tablets is getting a bit blurry with windows based tablet PC’s and tablets that come with a keyboard cover.
RIP PDAs with keyboard. Another form factor I miss
I’d say charging cables / most kinds of wires.
People are used to and comfortable with wireless charging these days despite it being spotty in terms of availability.
Better charging rates and capacity to power larger appliances might end up with you having a completely wireless home.
Only true wireless charging would kill wired chargers. The so called wireless charger still need to be charged with a cable
Wireless charging is slow, inefficient, and straight up wastes power. It’s not that great.
I agree but tech could improve
I’ve heard this before. But the biggest downside of wireless charging for me is I can’t use my device while it’s charging. Wireless chargers in the vast majority of scenarios aren’t even getting rid of wires. You still need to connect the wireless charger to the wall with a cable.
Social security and pensions I think.
Manual appliances. You can open the fridge, but only if you pay your monthly subscription fee to keep it restocked.
We work hand-in-hand with retailers to make online shopping the default, whilst making the UI only accessible to AI bots, so if you want a stocked fridge; pay your fees.
Sounds like an out of touch tech bro.
Yup. Worse still, I can see this extending to other appliances. Haven’t paid your monthly washing machine service fee? Our partnership with the only water company in your area authorizes us to shut off your water.
You are actually just insane and should shut up.
Search engines, I guess. No I won’t elaborate, mostly because I have no confidence.
I’m already using ChatGPT to replace 80% of my Google searches. No sponsored bullshit. Yet.
then you made incredibly uninspiring use of the tools and nobody will miss your participation.
Participation in what? A quick search on how to fix my toilet and how a toilet works. You think I was going to sign up for a toilet message board and chat?
Talk about being part of the problem.
Yeah I do realize the inevitable problem when their sources dry up because no one is communicating anymore but for the quick questions about how something works in the world it’s extremely convenient. I’d just be asking Google anyway.
But you can’t see the source of the information, which means it could be a reputable source, or it could be Joe-Sucks-His-Own-Dick from Reddit. In another comment, I pointed out that AI was telling people to put glue on pizza to keep the cheese from falling off—if you can see the source, you are much more likely to understand the veracity of the information.
This is such a silly take.
Not trusting Chat-GPT results, which are known to hallucinate false information, as your primary search method is a silly take? AI was telling people to put glue on pizza to keep the cheese from falling off. If you can see that the source of that information is a Reddit shitpost, you are way more likely to make a good judgment call about the veracity of that information.
If you want searches without sponsored results, use SearXNG or an equivalent that strips out the ads.
You can actually ask for its sources now and fact check yourself. But just like anything you read online, use common sense. I’d see those same results in a Google search too.
Do you ask for the sources every time?
If it’s something serious, yes. Like fixing something. I also use it as an idea generator. I needed to figure out why my toilet wasn’t flushing. It suggested the flapper. So then I went to YouTube and looked up a video on how to install it once it pointed me in a direction.
The way shit is headed, probably vaccines.
*in the US
I believe it’s propagating outside of the US
I’d say consumer printers
We’re running towards all digital, only a few edge cases will still require them
self-inflicted, if they played nice we would all be printing from home.
upside is less paper waste
Aux cables
Not disappear entirely, but most households won’t own desktop computers or HDDs.
Most people connected to the Internet today have never owned a desktop computer nor an HDD. A crazy amount of people have been introduced to computing with smartphones.
I don’t expect it so quickly, but hopefully lithium ion batteries (and variants like Li-poly, LiFePO4, etc)
Sodium batteries are already commercially available and although their volumetric energy density and round trip efficiency is lower than lithium I think they are a promising alternative to lead acid and some lithium applications.
What are their advantages?
Safer, very high power to weight ratio, better self discharge stability and good temperature range performance are the advantages. The most important one is of course the lack of massive environmental impact of water hungry lithium mining in dry environments and the geopolitical challenges evident in lithium sourcing.
There are a few electric vehicles with this chemistry and I predict it will replace lithium based chemistries in lower cost, smaller vehicles.
They don’t combust when exposed to oxygen
Can you explain why and how? Do you imagine other (better?) batteries, or the disappearance of the need for batteries?
It’s definitely the former.
3G networks